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To own Amgen, you have to believe its broad biologics portfolio, rare-disease focus and disciplined capital return can offset pricing pressure, biosimilar erosion and heavier R&D spending. The expanded UPLIZNA label reinforces the rare-disease and immunology story, but it does not materially change the near term focus on defending key franchises like Prolia and managing rising R&D and manufacturing investment, which remain the central risk to margins and cash generation right now.
Among recent announcements, Amgen’s decision to lift its quarterly dividend to US$2.52 per share for Q1 2026 looks most relevant. It highlights management’s confidence in cash flow durability even as the company leans into higher late stage R&D and absorbs biosimilar pressure. For investors, that mix of income support and reinvestment sits alongside new approvals like UPLIZNA as part of the same catalyst: whether Amgen can keep funding growth while preserving financial flexibility.
Yet while UPLIZNA broadens Amgen’s rare-disease reach, investors should still be aware of the mounting biosimilar and drug pricing threat that could...
Read the full narrative on Amgen (it's free!)
Amgen’s narrative projects $37.4 billion revenue and $8.2 billion earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Amgen's forecasts yield a $322.88 fair value, in line with its current price.
The most optimistic analysts already expected Amgen’s revenue to reach about US$42.8 billion and earnings US$13.3 billion, and they see UPLIZNA-style launches as proof that volume driven growth and expanding margins could offset pricing and patent risks far more than consensus assumes.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Amgen - why the stock might be worth as much as 69% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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