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To own Universal, you need to believe its global tobacco and plant-based ingredients platform can keep generating steady cash flows despite crop oversupply, margin pressure and tariff uncertainty. The new US$1.40 billion credit facility improves near term liquidity and extends maturities, but it does not directly resolve the most immediate risks around oversupply in flue-cured and burley tobacco or margin compression in Ingredients Operations, so its impact on those fundamentals is limited for now.
The recent confirmation of Universal’s quarterly dividend at US$0.82 per share sits alongside the new credit agreement, giving a clearer picture of how the company is balancing shareholder returns with its expanded financing capacity. Together, these updates frame the near term catalyst around how effectively Universal uses additional liquidity while managing earnings volatility from tariffs, product mix and the upcoming CFO transition.
Yet this sits against the possibility that, if oversupply and tariff risks intensify, investors should be aware of ...
Read the full narrative on Universal (it's free!)
Universal’s narrative projects $3.0 billion revenue and $113.9 million earnings by 2028. This implies a 0.9% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $10.5 million from $103.4 million today.
Uncover how Universal's forecasts yield a $78.00 fair value, a 45% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate Universal’s fair value between US$36.55 and US$246.79, highlighting very different expectations. Set against this, the new US$1.40 billion credit facility improves liquidity but leaves core risks like tobacco oversupply and tariff exposure firmly in focus, so it is worth comparing several viewpoints before forming a view.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Universal - why the stock might be worth 32% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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