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    Did Analyst Upgrades and Longer Laterals Just Redefine Chord Energy’s (CHRD) Capital Return Story?

    Simply Wall St·12/14/2025 10:15:08
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    • Recently, analysts upgraded Chord Energy after highlighting its strong free cash flow, cost efficiencies, and balance sheet strength, alongside operational gains from longer drilling laterals and a Williston Basin acquisition.
    • The focus on 4-mile laterals and disciplined capital returns through dividends and aggressive buybacks underscores how operational innovation and capital allocation are shaping Chord’s long-term competitiveness.
    • Next, we’ll examine how this renewed analyst confidence around longer laterals and cash returns could influence Chord Energy’s broader investment narrative.

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    Chord Energy Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Chord Energy, you need to believe its Williston Basin focus, longer drilling laterals, and cash return program can convert strong free cash flow into attractive long term value, despite commodity and regulatory uncertainty. The recent analyst upgrade reinforces the near term catalyst around execution on 4 mile laterals and integration of the Williston acquisition, but it does not remove the key risk that concentrated shale assets still require ongoing, capital intensive drilling.

    The most relevant recent announcement in this context is Chord’s ongoing share buyback activity, with more than 3.0 million shares repurchased for about US$318.0 million under the current program. For investors, that pairs with the analyst commentary on free cash flow and 4 mile laterals to frame a clear near term focus on disciplined capital returns, even as production guidance and one off items remind you that operating and earnings volatility remain part of the story.

    Yet behind the stronger cash returns, investors should be aware of how Chord’s concentrated Williston Basin footprint could...

    Read the full narrative on Chord Energy (it's free!)

    Chord Energy's narrative projects $4.4 billion revenue and $1.0 billion earnings by 2028. This implies a 4.3% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of about $734 million from $265.7 million today.

    Uncover how Chord Energy's forecasts yield a $127.56 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    CHRD 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    CHRD 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates span roughly US$74 to about US$480 per share, showing how far apart individual assessments can be. Against that wide range, the company’s reliance on unconventional shale wells and ongoing drilling to offset high decline rates is a core issue you should compare across different viewpoints.

    Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Chord Energy - why the stock might be worth 24% less than the current price!

    Build Your Own Chord Energy Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.