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To own Country Garden today, you have to believe the group can stabilise its strained balance sheet and eventually turn deep losses into something more manageable, even as revenue is expected to keep shrinking and default risk hangs over the story. The November contracted sales figure of about RMB 2.35 billion on 0.30 million square meters does little to change the near term picture by itself, but it does provide a fresh datapoint on demand as leadership responsibilities shift. Mo Bin’s move to Co-Chairman and Cheng Guangyu’s promotion to President look more like a reallocation of existing bench strength than a wholesale reset, yet they could influence how aggressively management tackles cost control, project pacing and creditor negotiations. For now, the biggest swing factors still sit around cash flow, refinancing options and policy support, with the leadership reshuffle acting as a secondary, execution-focused catalyst rather than a fundamental one.
However, one particular risk tied to that default warning is easy to underestimate. According our valuation report, there's an indication that Country Garden Holdings' share price might be on the cheaper side.Disagree with this assessment? Create your own narrative in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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