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To own JB Hi-Fi, you need to believe in its ability to defend margins and earnings in a competitive, promotion-heavy retail market. The recent exit of major institutional holders and the share price downtrend appear more relevant to short term sentiment than to the company’s core earnings drivers, while the biggest near term risk remains pressure on gross margins from competitors, costs and currency.
The most relevant recent announcement in this context is JB Hi-Fi’s FY2025 result, which showed higher sales and earnings and supported increased dividends and a special payout of A$1.00 per share. These figures underline how current operational performance and capital returns sit alongside the technical selling pressure and ownership changes when assessing what could drive the next move in the shares.
Yet while recent results were solid, investors should be aware of how rising promotional intensity could impact...
Read the full narrative on JB Hi-Fi (it's free!)
JB Hi-Fi's narrative projects A$11.7 billion revenue and A$540.1 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.2% yearly revenue growth and about an A$80 million earnings increase from A$459.9 million today.
Uncover how JB Hi-Fi's forecasts yield a A$102.05 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Twelve members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value JB Hi-Fi between about A$62 and A$141 per share, illustrating very different expectations. Against that wide spread of opinions, the recent selling pressure and institutional exits bring the risk of margin pressure and a tougher retail backdrop into sharper focus for anyone weighing the company’s longer term performance.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on JB Hi-Fi - why the stock might be worth 33% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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