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Here's Why NP3 Fastigheter (STO:NP3) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

Simply Wall St·12/13/2025 06:28:10
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies NP3 Fastigheter AB (publ) (STO:NP3) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

What Is NP3 Fastigheter's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2025 NP3 Fastigheter had kr13.4b of debt, an increase on kr11.3b, over one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of kr373.0m, its net debt is less, at about kr13.1b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
OM:NP3 Debt to Equity History December 13th 2025

How Strong Is NP3 Fastigheter's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that NP3 Fastigheter had liabilities of kr1.39b due within 12 months and liabilities of kr14.8b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of kr373.0m as well as receivables valued at kr112.0m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling kr15.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's kr15.4b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

Check out our latest analysis for NP3 Fastigheter

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.0, it's fair to say NP3 Fastigheter does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.2 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. On a slightly more positive note, NP3 Fastigheter grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine NP3 Fastigheter's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, NP3 Fastigheter produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

We'd go so far as to say NP3 Fastigheter's net debt to EBITDA was disappointing. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. Once we consider all the factors above, together, it seems to us that NP3 Fastigheter's debt is making it a bit risky. Some people like that sort of risk, but we're mindful of the potential pitfalls, so we'd probably prefer it carry less debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example NP3 Fastigheter has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.