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To own Federal Realty Investment Trust, you need to believe in the long term value of high quality, retail focused, mixed use centers and the company’s ability to reinvest in them without eroding earnings. The latest quarter’s earnings miss alongside higher redevelopment spend does not appear to change the near term catalyst of executing these projects, but it does underline the risk that capital intensive work could pressure free cash flow if returns slip.
The Village Pointe acquisition in Omaha is the clearest link to that thesis, since it extends Federal Realty beyond its traditional coastal strongholds into a large, affluent, suburban retail hub. Success here could reinforce the case that the company can broaden its footprint into new markets while maintaining leasing strength, but it also raises questions about integration risk and the timing of rent uplift that matter for near term earnings trends.
However, investors should be aware that the growing capital commitment to redevelopments and new markets could eventually...
Read the full narrative on Federal Realty Investment Trust (it's free!)
Federal Realty Investment Trust's narrative projects $1.4 billion revenue and $306.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 4.7% yearly revenue growth and a $30.5 million earnings decrease from $336.8 million.
Uncover how Federal Realty Investment Trust's forecasts yield a $110.39 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.
Five fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$34 to US$140 per share, showing very different views on Federal Realty’s prospects. Against this backdrop, the need for heavy, ongoing redevelopment and remerchandising spend could influence how you weigh future earnings pressure versus the potential long term uplift in property income.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Federal Realty Investment Trust - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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