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To own Cal-Maine Foods, you need to be comfortable with a highly profitable, cash-rich egg producer whose results can still swing with commodity prices, flock health and consumer demand. The big near term catalysts remain egg pricing, volume trends in its Egg-Land’s Best and Land O’ Lakes brands, and how management allocates what has recently been very strong free cash flow across dividends, buybacks and growth projects. Zoeller’s arrival as CFO, Prepared Foods, looks more evolutionary than transformational in the short run; it adds capital markets depth and risk management experience, but is unlikely to change the immediate earnings outlook or explain the recent share price pullback on its own. The more interesting impact is whether a dedicated prepared foods finance leader nudges Cal-Maine toward higher value products that could cushion future revenue and earnings swings over time.
However, there is one earnings risk in particular that current shareholders should not ignore. Cal-Maine Foods' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued. Find out how large the opportunity might be.Seventeen Simply Wall St Community fair value views stretch from about US$15 to a very large figure above US$800 per share, highlighting how far apart individuals can be on Cal-Maine’s worth. Set that against a business with strong recent free cash flow, but revenue and earnings forecasts pointing to meaningful declines, and you can see why it helps to weigh several viewpoints before deciding how much of your portfolio to tie to a cyclical egg producer.
Explore 17 other fair value estimates on Cal-Maine Foods - why the stock might be worth over 9x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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