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To own VinFast Auto, you need to believe it can turn heavy losses and high cash burn into scale and eventually better unit economics by winning share in fast-growing emerging EV markets. The new Indonesian aftermarket deals modestly support that thesis near term by reducing ownership friction in a key target market, but they do not change the central near term catalyst of proving sustainable demand outside Vietnam, nor the core risk around liquidity and continued funding needs.
The Indonesian agreements sit alongside VinFast’s broader Southeast Asian push, including its expanding manufacturing footprint in Vietnam, Indonesia and India and its progress at the Hai Phong plant. Together, these moves connect directly to the main catalyst of scaling volumes in emerging markets, where rising urbanization and EV adoption could help absorb fixed costs, even as persistent losses and limited brand recognition keep execution risk high.
Yet against this expansion story, investors should also recognize the growing concern around liquidity risk and potential dilution...
Read the full narrative on VinFast Auto (it's free!)
VinFast Auto’s narrative projects ₫177,527.7 billion revenue and ₫8,991.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 48.9% yearly revenue growth and a ₫89,207.8 billion earnings increase from ₫-80,215.9 billion today.
Uncover how VinFast Auto's forecasts yield a $5.83 fair value, a 78% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$5.83 to US$88 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Readers weighing these perspectives may want to set them against VinFast’s ongoing high cash burn and reliance on external funding, and then explore several alternative viewpoints before forming a view on the company’s long term potential.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on VinFast Auto - why the stock might be a potential multi-bagger!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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