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Deutsche Börse (XTRA:DB1) Valuation: Assessing the Stock After Its Strategic Digital Assets Partnership With Kraken

Simply Wall St·12/11/2025 12:30:59
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Deutsche Börse (XTRA:DB1) just took a meaningful step deeper into digital assets, unveiling a wide ranging strategic partnership with Kraken that links its core trading, custody, and derivatives infrastructure directly with crypto markets.

See our latest analysis for Deutsche Börse.

Despite the buzz around this Kraken tie up, Deutsche Börse’s €219.5 share price has logged a 5.28 percent 1 month share price return but remains slightly down year to date. Its 5 year total shareholder return of 74.07 percent underlines solid long term wealth creation and suggests momentum has cooled rather than broken.

If this digital assets move has you rethinking where growth and capital are heading, it could be worth exploring fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other potential standouts.

With modest revenue growth but steadily rising profits, plus a near 6 percent intrinsic value discount and roughly 19 percent upside to analyst targets, is Deutsche Börse now a smart entry point or already pricing in future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 15.8% Undervalued

With Deutsche Börse last closing at €219.5 against a narrative fair value of €260.54, the valuation framework leans toward meaningful upside potential.

Ongoing expansion into high margin, recurring software and data services (via SimCorp, Axioma, and ISS STOXX) and the growth of SaaS/ARR revenues especially outside the core European region will diversify and stabilize group earnings, reduce reliance on cyclical trading fees, and support elevated net margins.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how modest top line expectations still justify a richer future earnings multiple than many peers? The secret lies in the margin story, not headline growth.

Result: Fair Value of €260.54 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, this upside depends on resilient European inflows and a smooth leadership transition, as any sentiment reversal or execution misstep could quickly erode that margin-driven thesis.

Find out about the key risks to this Deutsche Börse narrative.

Build Your Own Deutsche Börse Narrative

If this perspective does not fully reflect your own view, or you prefer hands on analysis, you can assemble a personalized thesis in just a few minutes: Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Deutsche Börse.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.