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    How Bobcat’s IP Lawsuits and Potential Import Ban Risk Could Impact Caterpillar (CAT) Investors

    Simply Wall St·12/08/2025 00:19:50
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    • In recent days, Doosan Bobcat’s North American unit filed multiple patent infringement lawsuits against Caterpillar and dealer Holt Texas, alleging that certain dozers, excavators, and other machines misuse Bobcat’s machine control and manoeuvrability technology and seeking damages plus an import ban on the contested equipment.
    • This legal challenge introduces fresh uncertainty around Caterpillar’s intellectual property exposure and the availability of key products that underpin its heavy equipment franchise.
    • We’ll now assess how the threat of import restrictions on specific equipment lines may influence Caterpillar’s longer-term investment narrative.

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    Caterpillar Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Caterpillar, you generally need to believe its global heavy equipment and services platform can keep generating solid cash flows despite cyclical and geopolitical pressures. The Bobcat patent suits introduce an extra legal and import-risk layer, but at this stage they do not clearly alter the main near term drivers, which remain tariff impacts on margins and customer demand across construction and mining.

    The company’s Q3 2025 update, where management raised full year revenue guidance to modest growth versus 2024, is an important backdrop to this legal development. Investors now have to weigh that improving top line outlook against the possibility that any import restrictions or damages related to the Bobcat claims could incrementally pressure profitability or product availability in key categories.

    Yet the bigger risk investors should be aware of is how rising trade barriers and tariff structures could eventually...

    Read the full narrative on Caterpillar (it's free!)

    Caterpillar's narrative projects $74.0 billion revenue and $13.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $4.1 billion earnings increase from $9.4 billion today.

    Uncover how Caterpillar's forecasts yield a $587.67 fair value, a 3% downside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    CAT Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    CAT Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

    Eighteen fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$292 to US$588 per share, showing a wide spread in expectations. You can set those views against the risk that new or prolonged tariffs might add a structural US$1.3 billion to US$1.5 billion pre tax headwind to Caterpillar’s margins, with clear implications for future performance.

    Explore 18 other fair value estimates on Caterpillar - why the stock might be worth as much as $587.67!

    Build Your Own Caterpillar Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.