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For anyone considering Fermi, the big picture to believe in is a very long-dated build-out of a private 11-gigawatt grid that can convert today’s heavy losses and lack of revenue into durable cash flows backed by contracted customers. Near term, the key catalysts remain execution milestones: turning the US$150 million AIAC into physical infrastructure, bringing the first 500 MW of gas capacity online in 2026, and locking in EPC terms for the AP1000 reactors. The new hybrid cooling MOU with MVM EGI slots into that story as an enabler rather than a financial swing factor right now; it clarifies the water and environmental pathway more than it alters the earnings outlook. Given the sharp recent share price decline and high volatility, the bigger risk is still that cost, schedule, or regulatory surprises stretch an already loss-making balance sheet.
However, investors should be aware of how project delays or overruns could pressure Fermi’s funding needs. Fermi's share price has been on the slide but might be dropping deeper into value territory. Find out whether it's a bargain at this price.Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Fermi - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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