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    Is Customer Backlash Over Meal Prices Altering The Investment Case For McDonald’s (MCD)?

    Simply Wall St·12/04/2025 12:39:58
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    • Recently, McDonald’s faced strong online criticism in the US over an US$8 10-piece McNugget meal and broader concerns about pricing and value, even as it continued rolling out seasonal menu items and marketing collaborations across key markets.
    • This clash between customer frustration over affordability and evidence of resilient sales has sharpened investor focus on how McDonald’s balances value perception with growth.
    • We’ll now examine how this growing backlash over perceived meal affordability could influence McDonald’s broader investment narrative and outlook.

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    McDonald's Investment Narrative Recap

    To own McDonald’s, you need to believe its global scale, brand, and tech-led efficiency can keep converting steady traffic into resilient cash flows, even when customers push back on price. The recent US$8 McNugget meal backlash reinforces that near term, value perception in key markets is the main catalyst and the biggest risk, but so far it has not materially dented reported comparable sales momentum.

    The most relevant update here is CEO Chris Kempczinski’s acknowledgment that combo meals above US$10 hurt value perceptions, alongside Q3 2025 global comparable sales growth of 3.6%. This combination keeps pricing discipline and guest traffic, especially among lower income consumers, at the center of the McDonald’s investment story over the next few quarters.

    Yet behind the promotions and seasonal launches, a different risk tied to sustained traffic pressure from lower income customers is something investors should also be aware of...

    Read the full narrative on McDonald's (it's free!)

    McDonald's narrative projects $30.6 billion revenue and $10.4 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and a $2.0 billion earnings increase from $8.4 billion today.

    Uncover how McDonald's forecasts yield a $331.53 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    MCD Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025
    MCD Community Fair Values as at Dec 2025

    Ten members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see McDonald’s fair value between US$260.64 and US$331.53, underlining how far opinions can spread. Set against this, concerns about ongoing traffic softness among lower income guests could meaningfully shape how those different views on the company’s performance play out over time.

    Explore 10 other fair value estimates on McDonald's - why the stock might be worth as much as 8% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own McDonald's Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.