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To own UP Fintech, you need to believe its online brokerage and digital asset platform can keep attracting assets and trading activity from Asian investors as markets evolve. The upcoming Q3 2025 earnings, with expected EPS of US$0.21, are a key near term catalyst because any commentary on client growth, margins, or asset inflows could reshape expectations. The biggest risk right now is that tighter global oversight of Chinese financial firms could slow its international expansion, and this earnings call is unlikely to change that in a material way.
One announcement that stands out alongside this earnings update is the 15,000,000 ADS follow on equity offering filed in October 2024. That move increased the share count and gave UP Fintech more capital to support technology investment and expansion into markets like Hong Kong and new product areas such as digital assets. How efficiently that additional capital is being converted into revenue, profit, and client asset growth will be an important context for whatever guidance management provides on December 4.
Yet while growth opportunities look appealing, tighter global regulatory scrutiny of Chinese brokers is a risk investors should be aware of, especially if...
Read the full narrative on UP Fintech Holding (it's free!)
UP Fintech Holding's narrative projects $637.4 million revenue and $131.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires 19.4% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $52.8 million from $78.8 million today.
Uncover how UP Fintech Holding's forecasts yield a $14.12 fair value, a 63% upside to its current price.
Seven members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see UP Fintech’s fair value between US$5.76 and US$26.53, highlighting very different assumptions about its future. Against that wide range, the upcoming earnings guidance and any hints about regulatory headwinds could strongly influence how you weigh UP Fintech’s growth potential versus the risk of constrained international expansion.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on UP Fintech Holding - why the stock might be worth 34% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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