Markets bet on whether Zohran Mamdani will receive between 50% and 59.99% of the popular vote in New York City

Kalshi has reported 11,791 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 50% and 59.99% of the popular vote in New York City?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "50% - 59.99%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Zohran Mamdani in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election is 50% to 59.99%, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,776,818 transactions since it was first opened on September 11, 2025. There are 511,406 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,044,233 contracts.

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