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To own Thales, you need to believe in sustained European defense, aerospace and cyber demand, supported by disciplined capital allocation and execution in complex projects. The latest leadership changes in investor relations and the Netherlands unit do not materially alter near term catalysts such as European defense budget acceleration, nor do they remove key risks around cyber & digital execution and exposure to large government contracts.
Among recent announcements, the memorandum of understanding with Airbus and Leonardo to combine space activities into a joint company stands out, because it directly intersects with one of Thales’ structural risks: the cyclicality and restructuring burden in its Space division. How effectively Thales executes within this future joint entity may influence whether today’s space related volatility becomes a longer term earnings contributor or remains a drag on margins.
But while higher defense spending can support orders, investors should still be aware of how dependent Thales remains on large government budgets and...
Read the full narrative on Thales (it's free!)
Thales' narrative projects €26.5 billion revenue and €2.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.5% yearly revenue growth and about a €1.2 billion earnings increase from €1.0 billion today.
Uncover how Thales' forecasts yield a €279.69 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.
Eight members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Thales between €163.37 and €351.32 per share, highlighting very different expectations. Against this, the dependence on large European defense budgets raises longer term questions about how resilient those valuations could be if political priorities shift.
Explore 8 other fair value estimates on Thales - why the stock might be worth as much as 59% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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