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To own TPG, an investor needs confidence in the firm’s ability to capture long-term growth from thematic investments in healthcare and digital infrastructure while managing industry-wide fundraising slowdowns. The recent investments in Healthcademia and HyperVault support TPG’s focus on high-demand sectors but are not likely to materially change the near-term catalyst, which remains the pace of institutional capital inflows and fee revenue growth. Fundraising headwinds, particularly concerns about alternatives allocations reaching capacity, are still the most significant risk for the business right now.
Of all recent announcements, TPG’s commitment to invest up to Rs 8,820 crore in Tata Consultancy Services’ HyperVault data center platform stands out, reflecting a move toward scalable digital assets. This aligns with catalysts around finding new growth avenues and potential to diversify recurring fee streams, but also introduces integration and execution risk as TPG expands into new, operationally intensive markets.
However, investors should be aware that fundraising constraints could still impact TPG’s ability to sustain earnings growth, particularly if ...
Read the full narrative on TPG (it's free!)
TPG's narrative projects $2.3 billion revenue and $827.7 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 16.5% yearly revenue decline and an earnings increase of $807.5 million from the current earnings of $20.2 million.
Uncover how TPG's forecasts yield a $65.85 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Two retail investors in the Simply Wall St Community set TPG’s fair value between US$40.90 and US$65.85 per share. With growing industry risks around slower fundraising, your outlook may differ depending on confidence in TPG’s fee revenue growth, explore several perspectives before making up your mind.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on TPG - why the stock might be worth as much as 18% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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