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To own Amgen, you have to believe that its diversified pipeline, strong late-stage assets, and dependable dividend can overcome headwinds from industry pricing pressures and biosimilar competition. The recent dividend declaration and regulatory advancements for Repatha and Tezspire reinforce Amgen’s dedication to late-stage pipeline growth, but do not appear to materially affect the most important near-term catalyst: execution on major product launches like MariTide for obesity. Meanwhile, the most significant risk, erosion in legacy brands from biosimilar entry, remains largely unchanged for now.
Amgen’s EU approval for Tezspire in chronic rhinosinusitis with nasal polyps is especially relevant, as it highlights the company’s push to expand in specialty immunology. This approval, built on strong Phase 3 WAYPOINT results, supports the argument for broader late-stage innovation, yet the primary short-term market mover continues to be the pace and success of larger pipeline launches aimed at high unmet needs.
By contrast, investors should also be aware that while new launches show promise, risks tied to accelerating biosimilar competition in core franchises may...
Read the full narrative on Amgen (it's free!)
Amgen’s narrative projects $37.4 billion revenue and $8.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 2.3% yearly revenue growth and a $1.6 billion earnings increase from $6.6 billion currently.
Uncover how Amgen's forecasts yield a $311.88 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts see Amgen’s expanding chronic care volumes and AI-driven R&D as setting up frequent high-impact launches. These bulls expected US$42.8 billion in revenue and US$13.3 billion in earnings by 2028, suggesting recent news could lead them to revise projections even higher. Investor opinions vary widely, so it’s worthwhile to explore these different viewpoints and consider how recent announcements may shift the consensus.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on Amgen - why the stock might be worth just $311.88!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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