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For anyone considering Nextracker, the key narrative centers on its ability to lead global solar innovation while navigating cost pressures and execution risks outside its core U.S. market. The NX Earth Truss launch in Australia fits well with the company's push to unlock new markets, a potential catalyst if it boosts international sales, but in the short term, the largest risk remains project timing and deployment complexity, as these still dictate revenue recognition and margin consistency. Of the recent announcements, the strategic partnership with Abunayyan Holding to launch Nextracker Arabia is highly relevant, since both moves underscore Nextracker's intent to diversify geographically and reduce concentration risk in the U.S., aligning with its focus on expanding utility-scale solutions internationally. Yet, it’s equally important to recognize that, despite these promising catalysts, investors should not overlook the potential for supply chain disruptions or policy changes impacting pricing and margins…
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Nextracker's outlook anticipates $4.3 billion in revenue and $663.3 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on an annual revenue growth rate of 11.8% and a $118.6 million increase in earnings from the current level of $544.7 million.
Uncover how Nextracker's forecasts yield a $78.38 fair value, a 24% downside to its current price.
Fair value opinions on Nextracker from three Simply Wall St Community members span from US$78.38 to US$105.56 per share. While many see global expansion as a strength, you’ll find markedly different views on how risks from project complexity and market concentration could influence future returns.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Nextracker - why the stock might be worth as much as $105.56!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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