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    A Fresh Look at Coterra Energy (CTRA) Valuation Following Q3 Financial and Leadership Developments

    Simply Wall St·10/24/2025 18:32:59
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    Coterra Energy (CTRA) provided an update on its realized prices and derivative activity for the third quarter, projecting net cash receipts from derivative settlements. The disclosure comes in conjunction with a leadership change in its accounting team.

    See our latest analysis for Coterra Energy.

    The past year has been something of a slow grind for Coterra Energy, with a modest 1-year total shareholder return of 2.4%. The share price has slipped nearly 9% year-to-date. While leadership changes and strategic moves suggest the company is sharpening its focus, investors are watching to see if these recent efforts will build positive momentum or if the cautious sentiment will persist over the coming months.

    If tracking Coterra’s shifts has you interested in broader opportunities, consider expanding your search and uncovering fast growing stocks with high insider ownership.

    With analyst targets implying considerable upside and a discounted share price compared to intrinsic value, the question remains: is Coterra Energy undervalued with room to climb, or has the market already factored in its future growth potential?

    Most Popular Narrative: 26.5% Undervalued

    Coterra Energy's narrative fair value is higher than its recent close, reflecting upbeat projections from industry experts. A significant discount suggests notable upside if expectations are realized.

    The deployment of advanced drilling and completion technologies, including successful wellbore redesigns, simul-frac fleets, and longer laterals, has reduced per-foot costs (notably a 12% YoY cost drop in the Permian) and improved capital efficiency, creating sustainable improvements in net margins and free cash flow.

    Read the complete narrative.

    Want to know the financial levers that analysts think could catapult Coterra’s value well above current levels? The key is surprising revenue expansion, shrinking costs, and a projected profit path that the market itself isn’t betting on just yet. See the bold assumptions underpinning this sharply higher fair value and how they might reshape Coterra's story.

    Result: Fair Value of $32.29 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, persistent natural gas oversupply and production hiccups remain potential setbacks that could limit Coterra’s growth prospects, even with recent progress.

    Find out about the key risks to this Coterra Energy narrative.

    Build Your Own Coterra Energy Narrative

    If you see things differently, or would rather dive into the numbers yourself, crafting your own Coterra Energy narrative takes just a few minutes (Do it your way).

    A great starting point for your Coterra Energy research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.