Why Macquarie expects this ASX All Ords energy stock to surge 56%

The All Ordinaries Index (ASX: XAO) is unlikely to surge 56% over the next 12 months, but this ASX All Ords energy stock just might.

That's according to the analysts at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG) who this week reaffirmed their outperform rating on Amplitude Energy Ltd (ASX: AEL).

In afternoon trade today, Amplitude Energy shares have recouped their earlier intraday losses to be trading flat at 22.5 cents per share.

That sees shares in the ASX All Ords energy stock up just over 16% since this time last year.

Here's why Macquarie expects the year ahead will be even more profitable for shareholders.

ASX All Ords energy stock in the sweet spot

Citing upcoming tailwinds for Amplitude Energy, Macquarie said, "AEL completed its $150m equity raise, enabling it to participate in a 4 well campaign, capitalising on availability of the Equinox semi-sub rig."

The ASX All Ords energy stock announced the successful completion of its $19 million retail entitlement offer on 13 October, completing the company's fully underwritten $150 million equity raising.

Commenting on the new funding on the day, Amplitude Energy CEO Jane Norman said:

With the completion of the equity raising, we are now well positioned to accelerate growth through the expansion of the East Coast Supply Project and other value accretive opportunities in our portfolio, including the restart of Patricia Baleen – with a focus on maximising value from our existing infrastructure.

Macquarie sounded a positive note on Amplitude's Patricia Baleen restart and gas storage strategy. According to the broker:

AEL is doing work to prepare to restart gas production from the largely depleted Patricia Baleen gas field. This could allow for slightly higher Orbost gas production, provide some legitimate PRRT grouping benefits to Sole, but also create a path for a commercial gas storage strategy.

Then there's ASX All Ords energy stock's 50/50 joint venture with O.G Energy to pursue the East Coast Supply Project in the Offshore Otway Basin.

Macquarie stated, "Otway reload the next leg of value growth: We value AEL's 50% share of its Otway assets at A$0.10/sh (A$315m), now fully un-risked."

The broker added, "Drilling campaign has potential to add >$0.15cps additional value, and support VIC state in solving for tightening gas balances."

Connecting the dots, Macquarie said, "We rate the company an outperform with a target price of 35 cents per share. Top pick for East Coast gas exposure."

Macquarie's 12-month 35.0 cents per share price target represents a potential upside of 55.6% from current levels.

The post Why Macquarie expects this ASX All Ords energy stock to surge 56% appeared first on The Motley Fool Australia.

Motley Fool contributor Bernd Struben has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool Australia's parent company Motley Fool Holdings Inc. has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool Australia has positions in and has recommended Macquarie Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Scott Phillips.

The Motley Fool's purpose is to help the world invest, better. Click here now for your free subscription to Take Stock, The Motley Fool's free investing newsletter. Packed with stock ideas and investing advice, it is essential reading for anyone looking to build and grow their wealth in the years ahead. This article contains general investment advice only (under AFSL 400691). Authorised by Bruce Jackson. 2025