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    Halliburton (HAL) Is Up 11.6% After Oil Prices Jump on NATO-Russia Tensions and Supply Fears

    Simply Wall St·09/27/2025 21:19:00
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    • In late September 2025, Halliburton attracted heightened investor attention after oil prices climbed due to escalating tensions between NATO and Russia, with NATO issuing strong warnings and Russia signaling possible export restrictions.
    • This shift underscores how geopolitical risks and broader energy supply concerns can rapidly influence sentiment and capital flows across the oil and gas sector.
    • We'll now explore how the recent surge in oil prices triggered by supply fears impacts Halliburton's underlying investment narrative.

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    Halliburton Investment Narrative Recap

    For investors considering Halliburton, the core belief is that global energy demand and ongoing reliance on oil and gas, despite near-term volatility, will drive steady demand for the company’s services. The recent surge in oil prices has provided a catalyst for sentiment and stock price, but the most immediate risk remains the pace of energy transition and regulatory pressures which could structurally challenge long-term demand, a factor not immediately changed by this week’s geopolitical news.

    Among recent developments, Halliburton’s five-year well stimulation contract with ConocoPhillips in the North Sea stands out. This announcement directly ties to the catalyst of growing international diversification, as Halliburton seeks to reduce its earnings cyclicality outside the North American shale market, which is especially relevant amid current energy supply concerns.

    Yet, in contrast to the current surge in oil prices, investors should also consider the persistent risk of...

    Read the full narrative on Halliburton (it's free!)

    Halliburton's outlook estimates $22.1 billion in revenue and $2.0 billion in earnings by 2028. This projection assumes a -0.2% annual revenue decline and a $0.1 billion increase in earnings from $1.9 billion today.

    Uncover how Halliburton's forecasts yield a $26.54 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    HAL Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
    HAL Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

    Twelve fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span US$20 to US$45.10 a share, reflecting sharply differing opinions on Halliburton’s outlook. While the community remains split, the pace of renewable energy adoption and evolving regulation may play a bigger role in shaping the company’s future than this month’s geopolitical headlines suggest.

    Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Halliburton - why the stock might be worth as much as 80% more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Halliburton Narrative

    Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.