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A Look at Gulfport Energy’s Valuation Following Its Largest Leasehold Investment in Six Years and Production Growth

Simply Wall St·09/27/2025 21:11:18
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Gulfport Energy (GPOR) just made waves with its biggest leasehold investment in more than six years by announcing a plan to allocate $75 million to $100 million for targeted acreage acquisitions. This move signals a clear push for organic growth and a strategy to boost development flexibility. Alongside this, the company reported around 8% higher production volumes in Q2 2025, not letting midstream outages or operational hiccups slow things down. For investors, this combination of aggressive reinvestment and resilient production is hard to ignore. Looking at the past year, Gulfport Energy’s stock has climbed 17.6%, with momentum picking back up recently after a dip in the spring. The last month saw a 3.6% gain, and the past week alone added over 6%. Over the longer run, three-year returns are into triple digits, though it has not been a straight climb as short-term performance has seen some bumps. Between leaner quarters and moments of outperformance, the company’s focus on inventory and production expansion has become central to its growth story. After a year of choppy trading, is Gulfport Energy’s latest move a sign that there is lasting value to be found, or have markets already caught on and priced in the company’s future growth?

Most Popular Narrative: 19.7% Undervalued

The dominant narrative points to Gulfport Energy being significantly undervalued, based on analyst expectations for strong future growth and cash returns.

Gulfport's direct access to premium Gulf Coast markets, exposure to the LNG export corridor, and ongoing negotiations to supply emerging large-scale power projects (driven by AI/data center growth and US/EU LNG infrastructure buildout) position the company to benefit from rising natural gas demand. This, in turn, could translate into improved realized prices, cash flows, and long-term revenues.

Curious how Gulfport is expected to leap ahead of industry peers? The most-followed valuation narrative is built on aggressive earnings expansion, strategic share reductions, and a profit margin transformation typically reserved for market disruptors. The true drivers, hidden in analyst forecasts, might just surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $222.55 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, even with this momentum, concentrated exposure to core basins and swings in commodity prices remain key risks that could challenge Gulfport’s growth narrative.

Find out about the key risks to this Gulfport Energy narrative.

Another View: The Multiples Approach

While analyst forecasts and cash flows suggest Gulfport Energy is deeply undervalued, looking at its value compared to other US oil and gas stocks tells a different story. By this measure, shares look somewhat expensive. Which lens best captures reality?

See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.

NYSE:GPOR PS Ratio as at Sep 2025
NYSE:GPOR PS Ratio as at Sep 2025
Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding Gulfport Energy to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own Gulfport Energy Narrative

If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers and uncover your own insights, crafting a personalized narrative takes just a few minutes. Do it your way.

A good starting point is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards investors are optimistic about regarding Gulfport Energy.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.