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NetApp (NTAP) Valuation in Focus After StorageGRID 12.0 Launch Targeting AI-Driven Data Growth

Simply Wall St·09/21/2025 19:24:14
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NetApp (NTAP) just rolled out StorageGRID 12.0, an upgrade that is getting attention from anyone watching the intersection of AI and scalable data infrastructure. The real talking point here is how this new version aims to supercharge AI workloads, improve data security, and make managing unstructured data—such as text, video, and sensor logs—much easier for large organizations. For investors, the launch highlights NetApp’s strategy to keep its tools relevant as businesses race to modernize their data environments for the AI era. Looking at the bigger picture, momentum for NetApp has picked up this year. The stock is up about 20% over the past 3 months, outpacing its more modest 4% return over the past year. These moves have come as the company has reported steady revenue and net income growth, and unveiled a string of product and security-focused updates, including new encryption standards and features geared at AI project management. Momentum looks to be building, although with some choppiness in the broader trading signals, suggesting traders are following NetApp’s evolution closely. With NetApp pushing deeper into the AI-driven data space and shares on the move, some value-focused investors may be evaluating whether this is a window to step in or if the market is already pricing in these future gains.

Most Popular Narrative: 5.8% Overvalued

According to the most widely followed narrative, NetApp is currently considered modestly overvalued, with the current share price sitting above the consensus fair value estimate.

"Accelerating adoption of AI and analytics workloads across industries is driving demand for unified, high-performance, and scalable data infrastructure. NetApp secured over 125 AI wins in Q1 (more than doubling year-over-year), and this trend is expected to drive revenue and earnings growth as AI deployments move from proofs-of-concept to large-scale production."

Curious how analysts arrive at this near-fair price? The secrets lie in bold growth forecasts, shifting profit margins, and a valuation multiple anchored below today's tech average. Wondering if future AI momentum and concentrated global revenue can reshape NetApp's place in the market? The full narrative uncovers which numbers sit at the heart of the current valuation call.

Result: Fair Value of $118.29 (OVERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, ongoing declines in traditional product revenue and heavy reliance on partnerships with hyperscalers could disrupt NetApp’s current growth trajectory.

Find out about the key risks to this NetApp narrative.

Another View: SWS DCF Model Indicates Undervaluation

While the consensus multiple-based valuations point to NetApp being modestly overvalued, our SWS DCF model tells a different story. It arrives at a noticeably more optimistic outcome. Could the market be too focused on near-term multiples and missing bigger upside?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

NTAP Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
NTAP Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Stay updated when valuation signals shift by adding NetApp to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our screener to discover other companies that fit your criteria.

Build Your Own NetApp Narrative

If the numbers above don’t fit your perspective, or you’d rather crunch the data yourself, it’s easy to craft your own take on NetApp in under three minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your NetApp research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.