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How Investors Are Reacting To Owens Corning (OC) Earnings Estimate Revisions Amid Revenue Headwinds

Simply Wall St·09/15/2025 13:50:58
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  • Owens Corning recently attracted significant investor attention ahead of its latest earnings release, as analysts adjusted expectations despite forecasts for year-over-year declines in earnings per share and revenue.
  • Notably, the company has consistently outperformed consensus earnings and revenue estimates over the past four quarters, suggesting strong operational execution even amid anticipated revenue headwinds.
  • We'll explore how the recent upward revisions in earnings estimates could influence Owens Corning's investment narrative and outlook.

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Owens Corning Investment Narrative Recap

Owens Corning shareholders typically believe in the company's ability to grow earnings faster than the market by capturing demand for energy-efficient building materials and extracting long-term value from North American repair and remodel markets. The recent uptick in earnings estimates just before an expected quarterly decline in both EPS and revenue is unlikely to materially change the short-term catalyst, which remains the company's operational performance amid end-market headwinds; the most significant immediate risk is ongoing weakness and volatility in North American residential construction activity.

Among recent announcements, the substantial share repurchase program update stands out, as Owens Corning completed the repurchase of nearly 7% of its total shares outstanding and authorized a new buyback program for up to 12 million additional shares. This signals confidence in the company’s ability to return capital to shareholders, a relevant factor as markets assess short-term results relative to peer valuations and industry conditions.

Yet, in contrast to recent buybacks and stable dividends, investors should be mindful of how a protracted downturn in US housing construction could...

Read the full narrative on Owens Corning (it's free!)

Owens Corning's outlook anticipates $11.5 billion in revenue and $1.6 billion in earnings by 2028. This reflects a -0.7% annual revenue decline and an $898 million increase in earnings from the current $702 million.

Uncover how Owens Corning's forecasts yield a $175.93 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

OC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
OC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

The Simply Wall St Community’s fair value estimates for Owens Corning range from US$175.93 to US$334.42 across two evaluations, underlining wide differences in outlooks. As you consider these diverging views, remember that persistent softness in North American construction demand could have significant ripple effects on performance and valuation.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Owens Corning - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!

Build Your Own Owens Corning Narrative

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.