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International Seaways (INSW): A Fresh Look at Valuation Following New Bond Offering

Simply Wall St·09/08/2025 11:50:35
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International Seaways (INSW) just dropped news that is catching the attention of investors. The company is issuing new senior unsecured notes, set to mature in 2030, through a fixed-income offering under Rule 144A. For equity holders, this type of bond issuance naturally raises questions about the company’s strategy for raising capital and managing its debt in the years ahead. The announcement is worth watching closely, as fixed-income moves often send subtle signals about management’s view on expansion, liquidity needs, or refinancing opportunities. Looking back at the bigger picture, International Seaways has seen its shares climb around 5% over the past year, with double-digit gains in the past month alone. After a strong three-year rally, the recent combination of steady revenue and net income growth, along with multiple capital market moves, hints that momentum is still present but perhaps taking a new turn as financing considerations come into focus. With this latest bond issue in play, the market may be considering whether there is higher future growth ahead, a potential value gap for investors, or if everything is already reflected in the price.

Most Popular Narrative: 12.5% Undervalued

The most widely followed narrative suggests that International Seaways is currently trading at a notable discount to its fair value, indicating significant upside potential if key forecasts are met.

Fleet modernization and strong financial flexibility position the company to capitalize on environmental regulation shifts and market opportunities. Structural shifts toward decarbonization and regulatory pressures threaten revenue stability, financial flexibility, and asset value due to declining demand, compliance costs, and volatile market exposure.

Curious what is fueling this striking undervaluation call? The narrative points to a strategic mix of operational shifts and internal financial firepower that unlock future value. There are aggressive expectations around how growth, profits, and fleet renewal could support a price surge, but only if bold assumptions hold true. The specifics behind these projections might surprise even seasoned investors. Want the inside scoop on exactly what is driving the optimism?

Result: Fair Value of $53.50 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, some risks remain, such as weakened global demand for oil shipping or costly new regulations. These factors could limit upside and challenge the bullish view.

Find out about the key risks to this International Seaways narrative.

Another View: What Does the DCF Say?

Taking a step back from analyst price targets, our DCF model paints an even more bullish picture and suggests International Seaways could be significantly undervalued. But how reliable is any model when conditions rapidly change?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

INSW Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025
INSW Discounted Cash Flow as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out International Seaways for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover undervalued stocks based on their cash flows. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Build Your Own International Seaways Narrative

If these perspectives do not quite align with your own, or if you want to run the numbers yourself, you can easily build your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your International Seaways research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.