With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.5x Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (NYSE:GPI) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 20x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Group 1 Automotive hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for Group 1 Automotive
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Group 1 Automotive's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 11% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 12% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 13% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 11% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Group 1 Automotive is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Group 1 Automotive's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Group 1 Automotive (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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