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Lower Sales Guidance and Profit Pressure Could Be a Game Changer for Toro (TTC)

Simply Wall St·09/06/2025 13:47:28
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  • The Toro Company recently reduced its fiscal year 2025 earnings guidance, pointing to net sales at the lower end of its previous range, citing flat to 3% declines driven by macroeconomic factors, homeowner and channel caution, and anticipated tariff impacts.
  • The company also reported weaker third-quarter and nine-month results, with both sales and net income down compared to the same periods last year, underscoring pressures on profitability and demand within key business segments.
  • We’ll examine how Toro's lowered full-year outlook, tied to volume reductions from cautious customers and tariffs, affects its investment narrative.

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Toro Investment Narrative Recap

To be a shareholder in Toro, you need to believe in the company’s long-term ability to convert innovation and operational improvements into profitable growth, despite short-term headwinds. The latest downward revision to sales guidance highlights that investor focus should be on Toro’s ability to offset macroeconomic caution and manage tariff exposure, the most important near-term catalyst and primary risk, respectively. If these pressures persist, they may weigh on sentiment until clear evidence of recovery or margin stabilization emerges.

Among recent announcements, Toro’s third-quarter earnings release most directly reflects the impact of the lowered guidance. Sales and net income were both down compared to last year, driven by softer demand in key segments and anticipating further margin pressure from tariffs. The trends align with the caution flagged in the outlook and reinforce the message that margin management and volume recovery remain front and center for investors.

However, investors should also be aware that with ongoing tariff concerns, the potential for future cost increases and their effect on profitability is something that could...

Read the full narrative on Toro (it's free!)

Toro's outlook anticipates $4.8 billion in revenue and $501.1 million in earnings by 2028. This is based on a 1.6% annual revenue growth rate and a $102.3 million increase in earnings from the current $398.8 million.

Uncover how Toro's forecasts yield a $89.00 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TTC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025
TTC Community Fair Values as at Sep 2025

Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Toro range from US$83.74 to US$95.97 across three individual perspectives. While the community is split, the company’s updated guidance underscores the importance of monitoring for continued margin and demand pressures.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Toro - why the stock might be worth just $83.74!

Build Your Own Toro Narrative

Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.

  • A great starting point for your Toro research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Toro research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Toro's overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.