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    Markets bet on whether Jerome Powell will mention Russia in his Jackson Hole speech

    Barchart·08/20/2025 04:32:06
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    Kalshi has reported 5,970 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “What will Jerome Powell say during Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium entitled “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy”?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

    The market currently is implying a 26% chance for "Russia", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 26% probability.

    If Jerome Powell says Russia as part of Powell's speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium entitled “Labor Markets in Transition: Demographics, Productivity, and Macroeconomic Policy”, then the market resolves to Yes.

    In total, this market has seen a volume of 6,202 transactions since it was first opened on August 18, 2025. There are 6,011 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,374,037 contracts.

    Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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