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To own Planet Fitness stock, you need to believe in the company’s ability to drive earnings by scaling its club network, attracting a broad member base, and maintaining steady franchisee expansion. The latest results and ambitious plans for 160 to 170 new club openings bolster confidence in membership growth, but do not yet appear to materially resolve concerns tied to rising member churn rates following the rollout of online cancellation features. The prospect of elevated attrition, and whether it proves temporary or entrenched, remains the key near-term risk for the business.
Among the recent announcements, Planet Fitness’s guidance for 130 to 140 new equipment placements in franchisee-owned locations is especially relevant for evaluating near-term catalysts. This investment directly supports the company’s expansion efforts, reinforcing its commitment to increasing club count and, by extension, total membership, a critical variable underpinning both recurring revenues and the platform’s longer-term growth narrative.
Yet, against these positive signals, the risk of persistent member attrition following the nationwide online cancellation rollout should remain top of mind for investors, especially since...
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Planet Fitness is projected to reach $1.6 billion in revenue and $312.8 million in earnings by 2028. This outlook assumes an annual revenue growth rate of 11.6% and a $123.8 million increase in earnings from the current $189.0 million level.
Uncover how Planet Fitness' forecasts yield a $122.81 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community range from US$37.05 to US$122.81 per share. While many focus on strong expansion as an upside catalyst, your view should also weigh risks like sustaining long-term membership growth.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Planet Fitness - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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