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To be a DaVita shareholder, an investor needs confidence in the steady demand for dialysis services as the population ages and the company makes progress in operational efficiency. The recent earnings highlighted growth in revenue but a decline in net income, while share repurchases continued; these updates do not appear to shift the main short-term catalyst, recovery in treatment volumes, or significantly alter the biggest immediate risk, which remains patient volume pressures and reimbursement headwinds.
The most relevant announcement is DaVita’s continued aggressive share buybacks, with over 5.8 million shares repurchased between April and August 2025 across two buyback programs. This ongoing reduction in share count may support earnings per share in light of near-term earnings challenges and signals management’s commitment to returning value, but it does not directly address the underlying concerns around volume growth and government reimbursement rates.
However, investors should also be aware that even with sustained buybacks, reimbursement pressure from CMS updates could still...
Read the full narrative on DaVita (it's free!)
DaVita's narrative projects $15.0 billion in revenue and $970.4 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 4.4% yearly revenue growth and a $134 million earnings increase from the current earnings of $836.3 million.
Uncover how DaVita's forecasts yield a $155.88 fair value, a 20% upside to its current price.
Individual fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span from US$150 to US$304.62 across three analyses. Ongoing margin pressures due to government reimbursement rates remain a key concern for overall company performance, so it’s worth considering multiple viewpoints.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on DaVita - why the stock might be worth just $150.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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