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Do Fortive’s (FTV) Lower Earnings and Ongoing Buybacks Signal a Shift in Capital Priorities?

Simply Wall St·08/05/2025 17:59:53
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  • Fortive Corporation recently announced second quarter 2025 results, reporting revenue of US$1,518.8 million and net income of US$166.6 million, both down compared to the previous year.
  • Alongside these earnings, Fortive disclosed ongoing share repurchases, with nearly 27.41 million shares bought back for a total of US$1.94 billion under its continuing buyback program since 2022.
  • We will look at what these lower earnings and continued buybacks could mean for Fortive’s broader investment narrative.

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Fortive Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Fortive shareholder, you generally need to believe in the company’s ability to manage through industrial cycles, deliver steady operational performance, and unlock value through business transformation, most recently, a spin-off and plans to boost recurring revenues. The latest quarterly results, with revenue and net income both down, may contribute to concerns over near-term earnings pressure, but the main catalyst remains the successful separation and realignment of key segments. The biggest risk continues to be the lagging recovery in Precision Technologies; the recent news doesn’t materially change this risk or the outlook for the catalyst.

Of the company's recent announcements, the completion of nearly US$1.94 billion in share buybacks stands out. This is especially relevant given ongoing earnings declines, as it demonstrates a substantial commitment to shareholder returns despite operational headwinds. The effectiveness of such capital return programs may hinge on progress in stabilizing earnings and offsetting margin pressures brought by tariffs and weak demand.

On the flip side, investors should be aware that even ambitious buyback activity does not eliminate the impact of stubbornly slow precision segment recovery and...

Read the full narrative on Fortive (it's free!)

Fortive's narrative projects $4.5 billion revenue and $741.6 million earnings by 2028. This requires a 10.2% annual revenue decline and a $55.8 million decrease in earnings from the current $797.4 million.

Uncover how Fortive's forecasts yield a $65.85 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

FTV Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
FTV Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Two Simply Wall St Community members shared fair value estimates for Fortive ranging narrowly between US$64.40 and US$65.85 per share. With persistent weakness in Precision Technologies still weighing on short-term results, consider how other community viewpoints compare before making up your mind.

Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Fortive - why the stock might be worth as much as 39% more than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.