To be a shareholder in Blue Owl Capital, you need to believe in the firm’s ability to expand its private markets platform, capture fee growth, and open new distribution channels, especially in retirement and international markets. The recent partnership with Voya Financial could bolster Blue Owl’s access to the defined contribution retirement space, potentially addressing the most important short-term catalyst of accelerating fee-earning asset growth; however, the risk of a slowdown in institutional fundraising and fundraising headwinds remains material to the business outlook.
Among the most relevant announcements is Blue Owl's July 2025 alliance with Voya Financial, aimed at providing private market investment options for retirement plan participants. By prioritizing fee-based products and diversifying distribution via partnerships like these, Blue Owl can address one of its major growth catalysts, unlocking new, recurring sources of management fees while balancing the uncertainty of institutional capital flows in a changing market environment.
Yet, in contrast to these expansion efforts, investors should be aware that tightened institutional fundraising environments could still...
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Blue Owl Capital's narrative projects $4.0 billion revenue and $3.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 17.4% yearly revenue growth and a $3.4 billion earnings increase from current earnings of $91.9 million.
Three community-sourced fair value estimates for Blue Owl Capital range from US$17 to US$33.70, showing a wide spread in investor opinion. With expansion into retirement channels as a core growth catalyst, consider how differing expectations for new asset flows may shape company performance and explore several alternative viewpoints.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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