You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x Wabash National Corporation (NYSE:WNC) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Machinery companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Wabash National
Wabash National has been struggling lately as its revenue has declined faster than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to improve at all. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Wabash National.In order to justify its P/S ratio, Wabash National would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 25%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 7.4% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.5% over the next year. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 0.3%, which paints a poor picture.
In light of this, it's understandable that Wabash National's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
It's clear to see that Wabash National maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Wabash National.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.