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Does Allison Transmission Holdings (NYSE:ALSN) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

Simply Wall St·07/06/2025 12:48:27
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:ALSN) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

What Is Allison Transmission Holdings's Net Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Allison Transmission Holdings had US$2.40b in debt in March 2025; about the same as the year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$757.0m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.64b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:ALSN Debt to Equity History July 6th 2025

How Strong Is Allison Transmission Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Allison Transmission Holdings had liabilities of US$513.0m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$3.19b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had US$757.0m in cash and US$381.0m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$2.56b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Allison Transmission Holdings has a market capitalization of US$8.25b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

View our latest analysis for Allison Transmission Holdings

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Allison Transmission Holdings has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 1.4. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 11.9 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Fortunately, Allison Transmission Holdings grew its EBIT by 7.5% in the last year, making that debt load look even more manageable. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Allison Transmission Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Allison Transmission Holdings produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 66% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that Allison Transmission Holdings's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And that's just the beginning of the good news since its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow is also very heartening. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that Allison Transmission Holdings can handle its debt fairly comfortably. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Allison Transmission Holdings that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.