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Alupar Investimento's (BVMF:ALUP11) five-year earnings growth trails the notable shareholder returns

Simply Wall St·07/02/2025 09:13:02
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Stock pickers are generally looking for stocks that will outperform the broader market. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term Alupar Investimento S.A. (BVMF:ALUP11) shareholders have enjoyed a 46% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 7.2% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 11%, including dividends.

Since the stock has added R$369m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

During five years of share price growth, Alupar Investimento achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 10% per year. This EPS growth is higher than the 8% average annual increase in the share price. So one could conclude that the broader market has become more cautious towards the stock. The reasonably low P/E ratio of 9.14 also suggests market apprehension.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
BOVESPA:ALUP11 Earnings Per Share Growth July 2nd 2025

We know that Alupar Investimento has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Alupar Investimento's TSR for the last 5 years was 70%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

Alupar Investimento provided a TSR of 11% over the last twelve months. Unfortunately this falls short of the market return. On the bright side, the longer term returns (running at about 11% a year, over half a decade) look better. It's quite possible the business continues to execute with prowess, even as the share price gains are slowing. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Alupar Investimento better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Alupar Investimento .

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Brazilian exchanges.