There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. In light of that, when we looked at Colruyt Group (EBR:COLR) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Colruyt Group, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.11 = €447m ÷ (€6.5b - €2.4b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2025).
So, Colruyt Group has an ROCE of 11%. In absolute terms, that's a pretty normal return, and it's somewhat close to the Consumer Retailing industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for Colruyt Group
In the above chart we have measured Colruyt Group's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for Colruyt Group .
When we looked at the ROCE trend at Colruyt Group, we didn't gain much confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 11% from 18% five years ago. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by Colruyt Group's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Since the stock has declined 12% over the last five years, investors may not be too optimistic on this trend improving either. In any case, the stock doesn't have these traits of a multi-bagger discussed above, so if that's what you're looking for, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.
Colruyt Group does have some risks though, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Colruyt Group that you might be interested in.
While Colruyt Group isn't earning the highest return, check out this free list of companies that are earning high returns on equity with solid balance sheets.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.