Not many companies that have been around since the late 1800s can claim that they're growth companies. But Eli Lilly (NYSE: LLY) can. However, even growth stocks with long and impressive track records can see their share prices take a breather.
Eli Lilly's stock is down about 6.4% over the last year through June 12. Some may worry about such a drop, but I don't believe that's a warning sign for investors. Rather, investors should think of this dip as a buying opportunity.
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Eli Lilly has two weight-loss drugs on the market, Mounjaro (which also treats type 2 diabetes) and Zepbound. Both can now be classified as blockbuster drugs (which have over $1 billion in annual sales). Demand for the products shows no signs of slowing. First-quarter Mounjaro sales more than doubled year over year from $1.8 billion to $3.8 billion, with management also noting the product's expansion into new geographic markets. Zepbound's sales more than quadrupled from $517.4 million to $2.3 billion.
Finding a more convenient way of taking this medication could spur additional demand. Currently, patients inject themselves weekly with the drugs, which has been a deterrent for some wanting to obtain prescriptions. In April, Eli Lilly management announced a successful phase 3 trial of a daily oral treatment for type 2 diabetes and weight loss. The company expects to submit the drug for approval later this year (weight loss) and in 2026 (diabetes).
The two products accounted for about 48% of Eli Lilly's most recent quarterly sales and drove most of the top-line growth. With a large and growing market, and the entry of a product that will make it more convenient to take the treatment, that growth should prove sustainable for a long period.
Eli Lilly has already been taking market share from chief rival Novo Nordisk (NYSE: NVO). Novo Nordisk has been struggling, and its new treatment failed to meet expectations. Meanwhile, Eli Lilly's existing weight-loss drugs appear to produce better results. In fact, Eli Lilly had difficulty meeting skyrocketing demand in the past. That's a nice problem to have.
Eli Lilly's total first-quarter revenue grew 45% year over year to $12.7 billion, and its diluted earnings per share (EPS) under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) was $3.06, 23% higher. Management expects this year's EPS to come in at $20.17 to $21.67. While it reduced its guidance from $22.05 to $23.55, the updated figures are still a tremendous increase from the $11.71 a share Eli Lilly earned in 2024.
You can't call Eli Lilly shares a bargain based on the stock's trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The shares trade at a P/E of 63 compared to the S&P 500 index's 29. Still, a year ago, when the stock price was higher, the P/E ratio stood at 125.
Of course, earnings have been growing rapidly. Based on analyst estimates for the next year, Eli Lilly's stock has a forward P/E of 36. Hence, it seems the above-average valuation is justified based on growth expectations. The fast top-line and bottom-line pace doesn't seem likely to subside given Eli Lilly's leadership and potential new products in the fast-growing weight loss category.
That presents a good opportunity for growth-seeking investors, and it's why I'd use the stock dip as a buying opportunity.
Lawrence Rothman, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Novo Nordisk. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.