Eni S.p.A. (BIT:ENI) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 24th of September to €0.26. This makes the dividend yield 8.1%, which is above the industry average.
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Before making this announcement, Eni's dividend was higher than its profits, but the free cash flows quite comfortably covered it. Generally, we think cash is more important than accounting measures of profit, so with the cash flows easily covering the dividend, we don't think there is much reason to worry.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 132.9%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 52%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
See our latest analysis for Eni
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The dividend has gone from an annual total of €1.12 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of €1.05. The dividend has shrunk at a rate of less than 1% a year over this period. Generally, we don't like to see a dividend that has been declining over time as this can degrade shareholders' returns and indicate that the company may be running into problems.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. It's encouraging to see that Eni has been growing its earnings per share at 36% a year over the past five years. While EPS is growing rapidly, Eni paid out a very high 96% of its income as dividends. If earnings continue to grow, this dividend may be sustainable, but we think a payout this high definitely bears watching.
Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. This company is not in the top tier of income providing stocks.
Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. As an example, we've identified 1 warning sign for Eni that you should be aware of before investing. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.