Hindustan Construction Company Limited (NSE:HCC) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.7% over the last year.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Hindustan Construction may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x, since almost half of all companies in the Construction industry in India have P/S ratios greater than 1.7x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
See our latest analysis for Hindustan Construction
Hindustan Construction hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Hindustan Construction.There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Hindustan Construction's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 20% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 47% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 11% over the next year. That's shaping up to be similar to the 12% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Hindustan Construction's P/S is lagging behind its industry peers. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.
Hindustan Construction's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It looks to us like the P/S figures for Hindustan Construction remain low despite growth that is expected to be in line with other companies in the industry. When we see middle-of-the-road revenue growth like this, we assume it must be the potential risks that are what is placing pressure on the P/S ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Hindustan Construction (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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