Lonza Group AG's (VTX:LONN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 63.2x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to the market in Switzerland, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 20x and even P/E's below 14x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Lonza Group has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Lonza Group
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lonza Group's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any earnings per share growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Likewise, not much has changed from three years ago as earnings have been stuck during that whole time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has definitely eluded the company recently.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 34% per annum during the coming three years according to the analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 9.7% each year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Lonza Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Lonza Group maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Lonza Group you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.