The board of Dentsu Group Inc. (TSE:4324) has announced that it will pay a dividend of ¥69.75 per share on the 12th of September. This means the annual payment is 4.4% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. Dentsu Group is not generating a profit, but its free cash flows easily cover the dividend, leaving plenty for reinvestment in the business. We generally think that cash flow is more important than accounting measures of profit, so we are fairly comfortable with the dividend at this level.
Analysts are expecting EPS to grow by 62.5% over the next 12 months. While it is good to see income moving in the right direction, it still looks like the company won't achieve profitability. However, the positive cash flow ratio gives us some comfort about the sustainability of the dividend.
View our latest analysis for Dentsu Group
The company has a long dividend track record, but it doesn't look great with cuts in the past. The annual payment during the last 10 years was ¥34.00 in 2015, and the most recent fiscal year payment was ¥139.50. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 15% over that duration. Dentsu Group has grown distributions at a rapid rate despite cutting the dividend at least once in the past. Companies that cut once often cut again, so we would be cautious about buying this stock solely for the dividend income.
Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. Unfortunately, Dentsu Group's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. With EPS growth hard to come by and the company not turning a profit, we wouldn't be particularly optimistic about the growth prospects for Dentsu Group's dividend in the future.
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past, the payments have been unstable, but over the short term the dividend could be reliable, with the company generating enough cash to cover it. We don't think Dentsu Group is a great stock to add to your portfolio if income is your focus.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Taking the debate a bit further, we've identified 1 warning sign for Dentsu Group that investors need to be conscious of moving forward. Is Dentsu Group not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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