Just because a business does not make any money, does not mean that the stock will go down. For example, although software-as-a-service business Salesforce.com lost money for years while it grew recurring revenue, if you held shares since 2005, you'd have done very well indeed. Having said that, unprofitable companies are risky because they could potentially burn through all their cash and become distressed.
So should Repare Therapeutics (NASDAQ:RPTX) shareholders be worried about its cash burn? For the purposes of this article, cash burn is the annual rate at which an unprofitable company spends cash to fund its growth; its negative free cash flow. First, we'll determine its cash runway by comparing its cash burn with its cash reserves.
Our free stock report includes 4 warning signs investors should be aware of before investing in Repare Therapeutics. Read for free now.A company's cash runway is the amount of time it would take to burn through its cash reserves at its current cash burn rate. As at December 2024, Repare Therapeutics had cash of US$153m and no debt. Importantly, its cash burn was US$76m over the trailing twelve months. That means it had a cash runway of about 2.0 years as of December 2024. While that cash runway isn't too concerning, sensible holders would be peering into the distance, and considering what happens if the company runs out of cash. You can see how its cash balance has changed over time in the image below.
See our latest analysis for Repare Therapeutics
We reckon the fact that Repare Therapeutics managed to shrink its cash burn by 41% over the last year is rather encouraging. Revenue also improved during the period, increasing by 4.6%. Considering the factors above, the company doesn’t fare badly when it comes to assessing how it is changing over time. While the past is always worth studying, it is the future that matters most of all. For that reason, it makes a lot of sense to take a look at our analyst forecasts for the company.
While Repare Therapeutics seems to be in a fairly good position, it's still worth considering how easily it could raise more cash, even just to fuel faster growth. Issuing new shares, or taking on debt, are the most common ways for a listed company to raise more money for its business. Many companies end up issuing new shares to fund future growth. By comparing a company's annual cash burn to its total market capitalisation, we can estimate roughly how many shares it would have to issue in order to run the company for another year (at the same burn rate).
Repare Therapeutics' cash burn of US$76m is about 144% of its US$53m market capitalisation. That suggests the company may have some funding difficulties, and we'd be very wary of the stock.
Even though its cash burn relative to its market cap makes us a little nervous, we are compelled to mention that we thought Repare Therapeutics' cash runway was relatively promising. Summing up, we think the Repare Therapeutics' cash burn is a risk, based on the factors we mentioned in this article. Taking a deeper dive, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Repare Therapeutics you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
Of course Repare Therapeutics may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.