To the annoyance of some shareholders, Clean Energy Fuels Corp. (NASDAQ:CLNE) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 49% share price drop.
Following the heavy fall in price, Clean Energy Fuels may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x, since almost half of all companies in the Oil and Gas industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.4x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Clean Energy Fuels
Clean Energy Fuels hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.
Keen to find out how analysts think Clean Energy Fuels' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start .In order to justify its P/S ratio, Clean Energy Fuels would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.2%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 63% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% per annum over the next three years. With the industry only predicted to deliver 5.4% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this information, we find it odd that Clean Energy Fuels is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The southerly movements of Clean Energy Fuels' shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
To us, it seems Clean Energy Fuels currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. The reason for this depressed P/S could potentially be found in the risks the market is pricing in. While the possibility of the share price plunging seems unlikely due to the high growth forecasted for the company, the market does appear to have some hesitation.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Clean Energy Fuels , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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