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Trainline Plc's (LON:TRN) Earnings Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

Simply Wall St·03/14/2025 05:04:30
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Trainline Plc's (LON:TRN) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 21.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in the United Kingdom, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 8x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Recent times have been advantageous for Trainline as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Trainline

pe-multiple-vs-industry
LSE:TRN Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Trainline.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Trainline's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 146%. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% per year during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 13% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Trainline's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Trainline's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Trainline with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Trainline, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.