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BCE (TSX:BCE) Faces Lower Earnings Estimates, Is It A Bargain?

Simply Wall St·10/31/2026 02:37:13
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Weaker earnings expectations have pushed BCE (TSX:BCE) back into the spotlight, as analysts now forecast lower revenue and profit for the September 2026 quarter compared with the prior year.

BCE shares trade at CA$28.49 after a year where the share price return has fallen 12.34% year to date and the 5 year total shareholder return is down 36.92%, which suggests that concerns about weaker earnings are outweighing positives such as its recent brand recognition and preferred share activity.

Compare BCE's recent earnings pressure with other telecoms and income plays by scanning our hand picked list of 3 dividend fortresses that investors are watching closely.

BCE still controls a huge telecom footprint and carries a well known brand, yet a CA$28.49 share price after years of weak returns raises a sharper question: Is this a solid franchise offered at a fair valuation or not?

Most Popular Narrative: 23% Undervalued

BCE's most followed valuation narrative points to a fair value of about CA$37.17 per share compared with the current CA$28.49 price. This frames the recent share weakness against a higher long term estimate grounded in its changing business mix.

The build out of Bell AI Fabric, including the fully contracted 300 MW Saskatchewan data centre that is targeted to contribute about $500m of revenue, $400m of EBITDA and over $250m of free cash flow at roughly a 20% internal rate of return at full run rate, gives BCE a pipeline of contracted cash flows that can affect long term revenue visibility and margin profile.

See why 170 investors see BCE as 23% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of CA$37.17 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, the story can break if wireless ARPU pressure persists or if higher capex for Bell AI Fabric and Ziply Fiber drags on free cash flow longer than expected.

Find out about the key risks to this BCE narrative.

Next Steps

Sentiment on BCE is clearly split, with concerns sitting right beside some genuine bright spots. Move quickly and weigh the evidence yourself before opinions settle. To see both sides in one place, review the 4 key rewards and 4 important warning signs

Looking for more investment ideas beyond BCE?

If BCE has you rethinking your income and value exposure, do not stop here. Broaden your watchlist now or you risk missing stronger setups.