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Is Metcash (ASX:MTS) Undervalued On Its Expanded Coveo AI Partnership?

Simply Wall St·10/02/2026 19:16:05
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Metcash (ASX:MTS) has expanded its partnership with Coveo Solutions, rolling out AI-powered conversational tools in its B2B customer communications portal to streamline support and extend previous deployments across its online marketplace and internal agent workflows.

Metcash shares trade at A$2.89 and recent price action has been soft, with the 30 day share price return down 3.02% and the year to date share price return down 12.69%, while the 1 year total shareholder return has declined 18.85%. This suggests the market has been cautious even as the group pushes ahead with digital projects like the expanded Coveo partnership.

Scan how Metcash’s AI push compares with other retailers pursuing similar upgrades by reviewing the hand picked 90 AI infrastructure stocks in the market right now.

Bulls see Metcash’s A$2.89 share price and sizeable discount to analyst targets as a mismatch with ongoing digital investment. Bears point to weak recent returns and question the payoff. Which side do the numbers lean toward next?

Most Popular Narrative: 16% Undervalued

Metcash’s most followed narrative points to a fair value of around A$3.44 per share, compared with the last close of A$2.89. This frames the current price as a discount that depends on execution in food, liquor and hardware.

Metcash's strategic acquisitions, such as Superior Foods, support diversification, resilience, and the ability to extract synergies. This is expected to enhance sales growth and potentially improve net margins as synergies are realized.

See why 56 investors see Metcash as 16% undervalued.

Result: Fair Value of A$3.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Still, if Hardware and Liquor margins come under more pressure or cost conscious Superior Foods customers keep switching suppliers, the Metcash upside story could easily stall.

Find out about the key risks to this Metcash narrative.

Next Steps

Mixed signals on Metcash’s value story can create noise, so move quickly, review the full risk and reward rundown and weigh the 2 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

Looking for more Metcash-sized investment ideas?

If Metcash has you thinking harder about where to put your next dollar, use that momentum and scan a wider field of opportunities before the crowd catches on.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.