Tropical Storm Norbert won't be Pacific's next hurricane, but Invest 97E likely to become Odalys soon
THE TAKEAWAY
Tropical Storm Norbert is no longer going to be the Pacific's next hurricane, but Invest 97E could be the next named storm in the next day or so.
Norbert is a modest little tropical storm, moving west with winds of 50 mph as of the National Hurricane Center's latest update.
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Dry air wrapping around the system is limiting its development despite thunderstorm activity, the FOX Forecast Center said.
Norbert will continue battling dry air and light wind shear. But, upper-level winds are expected to increase, forcing the storm into a steady weakening trend.
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The storm is forecast to lose its tropical characteristics and become a post-tropical remnant low by Wednesday, before fully dissipating, the FOX Forecast Center said.
Norbert no longer poses a threat to Hawaii, but the south side of the islands are likely to see some larger swells in the coming days as the storm dissipates.
As is the norm for this season, that's not all that's going on in the Pacific, because hot on Norbert's heels is another system which is likely to get a name by Monday.
Invest 97E was declared on Friday, and odds continue growing that it will become Odalys, with a 90% chance of development in the next two days.
Like Norbert, Invest 97E will generally move west over very warm Pacific waters. Initially, conditions will be ripe for the system to consolidate and strengthen into a tropical storm, the FOX Forecast Center said.
Computer forecast models agree that 97E will also hit hostile conditions that Norbert battled, with an abundance of dry air working into the core of the storm, preventing new thunderstorms from developing.
"All reliable forecast models have the storm dissipating before it ever comes close to being in the vicinity of Hawaii," the FOX Forecast Center said.
It's forecast that another tropical threat will pop up in the Pacific before long.
At this time, it also would have no threat to land in the next 10 to 14 days, but we are keeping a close eye as something spins up.
El Niño has kept the Pacific quite busy this season, as we still have about two and a half months to go and are already up to the "O" named storm of the season.
An average hurricane season in the East Pacific typically produces about 15 named storms, eight hurricanes and four major (Category 3+) hurricanes.
El Niño years since 1990 have, on average, produced approximately 17 named storms, nine hurricanes and five major hurricanes, highlighting a measurable increase in activity.
Stick with FOX Weather as we continue to bring you the latest forecast and developments for these tropical systems.