To own Pinterest, you need to believe its 640 million users and AI shopping pitch can translate into more effective ads and better conversion for brands. The immediate swing factor is whether performance advertising keeps gaining traction without eroding pricing as usage grows outside the US and Canada.
The biggest near term risk still sits in monetization gaps and regulation. European rules and a reworked international sales setup could slow progress if targeting or execution suffers. The latest AI push does not remove that risk, but it may help offset pressure if advertisers see enough lower funnel results to stick and expand budgets.
The move into connected TV through the tvScientific acquisition is the clearest operational extension of this news. Pinterest is trying to carry its high intent audience into a new format where shopping intent and performance campaigns can still be measured and optimized.
For you, the question is whether this broadens the performance ad flywheel or simply adds complexity and cost. Execution will matter. If CTV ads integrate cleanly into the existing Performance+ stack and maintain strong attribution, it could support the core performance narrative while testing a new, potentially higher value surface for advertisers.
Pinterest's current analyst narrative points to revenues of US$6.4b and earnings of US$705.1m by 2029, based on an assumed 12.0% yearly revenue growth rate and an earnings increase of roughly US$456m from US$248.9m today.
Uncover why Pinterest's fair value indicates a 52% potential upside to its current price that could narrow quickly if sentiment shifts.
One sharp contrast is ad pricing risk. The most bearish Pinterest analysts worry that softer pricing and heavy dependence on lower funnel conversions could cap outcomes, which is why they only penciled in about US$6.3b of revenue and US$499.0m of earnings by 2029. Those views were set before the news, so you may see opinions shift as this AI and CTV story evolves.
Explore 8 other Pinterest fair value estimates, including one that suggests it could be worth just $22.00.
Don't just follow the ticker. Dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
If Pinterest's AI and performance ad story has you thinking about where else to put fresh capital to work, the Simply Wall St Screener can help you cast a wider net without losing focus on quality and fundamentals.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com