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Why Is Dogecoin Down?

The Motley Fool·09/04/2026 21:55:08
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Key Points

  • A blowout August jobs report -- 162,000 added versus a 53,000 forecast -- pushed September rate-hike odds to about 60%, from roughly 49% before the release.

  • Higher hike odds make risk-free Treasuries pay more, so speculative assets with no underlying fundamentals -- like Dogecoin -- absorb an outsize share of the sell-off.

  • Unemployment held at 4.1%, and wages rose 0.3%, both matching forecasts -- the payroll number alone is driving today's reaction.

Dogecoin (CRYPTO: DOGE) is down 4.6% in the last 24 hours as of 5:30 p.m. ET on Sept. 4, 2026, after much stronger-than-expected jobs released today, sending odds of a rate hike higher.

The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite both dropped in Friday's trading, losing 0.4% and 0.3%, respectively.

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August payrolls blow past estimates, pushing hike odds to 60%

The August jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed the economy added 162,000 jobs, well ahead of the consensus expectations of 53,000.

Given inflation is running well above the Federal Reserve's target, the strong report gives the Fed less reason to hold rates steady. Odds of a hike at the Fed's upcoming September meeting climbed to about 60% from 49% before the report.

Higher rate-hike odds make Treasuries more attractive than risky bets like Dogecoin

When rates go up, U.S. Treasuries -- basically guaranteed money -- pay more, so the case for investors to take on the risk of investing elsewhere gets harder to make. That's why the stock market tends to see red on days when rate hikes become more likely.

A shiba-inu dog.

Image source: Getty Images.

In general, the riskier the asset, the larger the effect. And Dogecoin is nothing if not risky. This is a memecoin and is regularly subject to major price swings. In my view, it's not a serious investment, and you should look elsewhere if you're interested in cryptocurrencies.

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bitcoin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.